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28 de mar. de 2018RELATÓRIOGlobal

Two-thirds of global cropland area impacted by climate oscillations

A Nature Communications study finds that during 1961–2010 crop productivity was significantly influenced by at least one large-scale climate oscillation (ENSO, IOD or NAO) across two-thirds of global cropland. The authors also report new possible links between NAO and crop productivity in Africa and the Middle East.

POR QUE IMPORTA

Recurring ENSO, IOD and NAO cycles mean a large share of global crop yields is exposed to predictable weather shocks, which can support price risk planning for feed grains. The findings are structural and do not signal an immediate supply change.

AFETAMilho◆Soja em grão◆Trigo (SRW)◆

FONTE
nature.comHeino, Matias, Puma, Michael J., Ward, Philip J., Gerten, Dieter, Heck, Vera28 de mar. de 2018

Reação de preço e histórico

Milho◆neutroATÉ AGORA1d -0,1%5d +3,3%20d +4,9%

Após 770 eventos neutro de relatório passados, Milho subiu em mediana +0,2% em 5 sessões (54% de alta; metade central de -1,1% a +1,6%), e +0,7% em 20.

8 de nov. de 2019Nation's corn crop is shrinking | 2019-11-08 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0,0%
22 de mar. de 2018Study: Climate effects on ag yields vary by location, crop | IANR News-0,2%
2 de set. de 2020Corn market still mulling impacts of derecho, Chinese buying spree | 2020-09-01 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0,4%
18 de fev. de 20212019 Covered Commodity Dashboard and Implications for the Crop Safety Net - farmdoc daily+0,8%
24 de ago. de 2023Conab analyzes conditions of second and third harvest crops - Revista Cultivar-2,8%

Soja em grão◆neutroATÉ AGORA1d -0,1%5d -0,4%20d +0,8%

Após 563 eventos neutro de relatório passados, Soja em grão subiu em mediana -0,1% em 5 sessões (48% de alta; metade central de -1,7% a +1,6%), e -0,1% em 20.

22 de mar. de 2018Study: Climate effects on ag yields vary by location, crop | IANR News-1,1%
9 de nov. de 2022WASDE reveals small crops are done getting smaller | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0,9%
9 de dez. de 2022USDA’s WASDE leaves most grain and oilseed estimates unchanged | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0,9%
12 de mai. de 2020Corn ending stocks grow but not like traders expected | 2020-05-12 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0,9%
12 de ago. de 2019USDA trims corn, soybean acres off June estimates | 2019-08-12 | Agri-Pulse | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0,7%

Trigo (SRW)◆neutroATÉ AGORA1d -0,1%5d +1,0%20d +4,9%

Após 406 eventos neutro de relatório passados, Trigo (SRW) subiu em mediana -0,2% em 5 sessões (47% de alta; metade central de -1,6% a +1,5%), e +0,0% em 20.

18 de fev. de 20212019 Covered Commodity Dashboard and Implications for the Crop Safety Net - farmdoc daily+1,6%
19 de jun. de 2023Australia’s national wheat production dips while global crops prove ‘significantly’ bigger than expected | Countryman+2,6%
24 de ago. de 2023Conab analyzes conditions of second and third harvest crops - Revista Cultivar-4,9%
21 de abr. de 2023A larger corn crop is expected globally-8,6%
11 de mar. de 2020‘Benign’ WASDE makes minimal changes in numbers | 2020-03-10 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-4,9%

Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.

Milho CORN · GP ▸

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Soja em grão SOY · GP ▸

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