◂ Linha do tempo do evento

21 de jan. de 2026CLIMAEUA

Timing of La Niña Exit, El Niño Entrance is Unclear, Raising Questions About Dryness for Spring and Summer

AgWeb reports NOAA now forecasts La Niña exiting by spring with a possible El Niño later in 2026, though meteorologists disagree on timing. Dryness persists across parts of the West, Southwest and Southern Plains, raising concerns for spring and summer planting.

POR QUE IMPORTA

Persistent dryness in key US growing areas raises the risk of lower spring yields, which can support corn, soybean and wheat prices if it intensifies.

AFETAMilho▲Soja em grão▲Trigo (HRW)▲

FONTE
agweb.com21 de jan. de 2026

Reação de preço e histórico

Milho▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d -0,4%5d +0,8%20d +0,6%

Após 1.465 eventos altista de clima passados, Milho subiu em mediana +0,2% em 5 sessões (54% de alta; metade central de -1,4% a +1,9%), e +0,9% em 20.

14 de mar. de 2025Goodbye, La Niña? Eric Snodgrass Dissects What the Shift Means for Weather This Spring and Summer - AgWeb+6,8%
24 de mai. de 2023The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb-3,4%
13 de mar. de 2026El Niño Watch: 62% Chance of Arrival This Summer, But Drew Lerner Warns Extreme Forecasts May Be Overblown - AgWeb+4,1%
26 de fev. de 2024964. Convergence of El Niño and Expected Transition to La Niña | Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences | JIRCAS+0,5%
14 de jan. de 2022La Niña Conditions Likely to Continue into Spring - AgWeb-0,1%

Soja em grão▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d +1,1%5d +1,4%20d +7,6%

Após 1.079 eventos altista de clima passados, Soja em grão subiu em mediana +0,3% em 5 sessões (54% de alta; metade central de -1,4% a +2,0%), e +0,9% em 20.

14 de mar. de 2025Goodbye, La Niña? Eric Snodgrass Dissects What the Shift Means for Weather This Spring and Summer - AgWeb+1,6%
24 de mai. de 2023The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb-1,7%
13 de mar. de 2026El Niño Watch: 62% Chance of Arrival This Summer, But Drew Lerner Warns Extreme Forecasts May Be Overblown - AgWeb-3,7%
26 de fev. de 2024964. Convergence of El Niño and Expected Transition to La Niña | Japan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences | JIRCAS+0,9%
14 de jan. de 2022La Niña Conditions Likely to Continue into Spring - AgWeb+3,6%

Trigo (HRW)▲altistaATÉ AGORA1d -0,6%5d +1,9%20d +5,4%

Após 322 eventos altista de clima passados, Trigo (HRW) subiu em mediana -0,1% em 5 sessões (49% de alta; metade central de -2,5% a +3,2%), e +1,0% em 20.

14 de jan. de 2022La Niña Conditions Likely to Continue into Spring - AgWeb+4,4%
14 de out. de 2021Q&A: La Nina's back and it's not good for parts of dry West | AP News+5,3%
23 de mar. de 2022Early Spring Drought Review for US Grain and Oilseed Crops-8,2%
25 de ago. de 2023Latest Canadian Durum Wheat, Soy, and Canola production estimates raise supply and quality concerns-3,5%
8 de set. de 2025The El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Drought Outlook in the United States | September 8, 2025 | Drought.gov+1,1%

Variações do benchmark de cada commodity desde o último fechamento antes do evento. As leituras históricas agregam eventos passados do mesmo tipo; descrevem o que aconteceu, não o que vai acontecer. Não é recomendação de investimento.

Milho CORN · GP ▸

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Soja em grão SOY · GP ▸

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