Laden…
Agricultural economists Glynn Tonsor and Lee Schulz modeled the price effects of meat plant closures tied to COVID-19. Their beef model links a 1% cut in processing capacity to a 1.32% drop in fed cattle prices.
Their hog model links a 1% cut in pork packing capacity to a 1.82% drop in hog prices.
Packing capacity losses from COVID-19 closures could push cattle and hog prices lower because the industry has little spare slaughter capacity. Feeder buyers should watch plant utilization closely.
feedstuffs.comKrissa Welshans13 apr 2020Na 70 eerdere neerwaarts ziekte-gebeurtenissen bewoog Slachtvee (levend) zich mediaan +0,0% over 5 sessies (51% hoger; middelste helft -1,7% tot +1,0%), en +0,4% over 20.
Na 117 eerdere neerwaarts ziekte-gebeurtenissen bewoog Magere varkens zich mediaan -0,6% over 5 sessies (36% hoger; middelste helft -2,2% tot +1,6%), en +1,2% over 20.
Bewegingen van de benchmark van elke grondstof sinds de laatste slotkoers vóór de gebeurtenis. Historische waarden bundelen eerdere gebeurtenissen van hetzelfde soort; ze beschrijven wat er gebeurde, niet wat zal gebeuren. Geen beleggingsadvies.
Economist modeling published April 13 linked a 1% cut in pork packing capacity to a 1.82% drop in hog prices, so plant closures were framed as strongly bearish for hogs ahead of the April 15 drop.
