
Combined milk output from the largest dairy exporters (New Zealand, EU, US, Argentina, Australia) fell below prior-year levels from September 2021 and had not recovered by mid-2022, with first-half output about 1.1% lower. Environmental rules in Europe and New Zealand are capping herds, Australian drought has shrunk the herd, and South American inflation and currency volatility are curbing investment.
US producers face high feed and hay costs, with Central Valley hay near $450 per ton.
A prolonged global milk shortfall with slow supply response keeps dairy supplies tight and supports milk prices. Higher feed and hay costs also squeeze producer margins, which can further limit output.
과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 32건 이후, 우유 (Class III)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 50%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.7%~+3.4%), 20거래일 동안 +3.2%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.