La Niña still present, with a transition to ENSO-neutral favoured during Jan-Mar 2017

과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 357건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.3% 변동(상승 44%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.2%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.

• 2025. 12. 11.La Niña to fade early next year, neutral Pacific conditions likely, U.S. forecasters say - AgCanada+0.5%
• 2025. 8. 14.Brief La Niña expected in fall 2025 before ENSO neutral returns, says US CPC | GMA News Online+1.1%
• 2025. 7. 10.Climate Prediction Center sees 56% chance of ENSO neutral conditions in August-October-1.0%
• 2026. 1. 8.US CPC sees 75% chance of La Nina transition by early 2026 | Reuters-3.4%
• 2021. 10. 14.Analyst Insight: La Niña could keep domestic wheat prices supported going into 2022 | AHDB+3.2%

과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 363건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.6% 변동(상승 42%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.5%~+1.1%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

• 2025. 12. 11.La Niña to fade early next year, neutral Pacific conditions likely, U.S. forecasters say - AgCanada-3.0%
• 2025. 8. 14.Brief La Niña expected in fall 2025 before ENSO neutral returns, says US CPC | GMA News Online-0.8%
• 2025. 7. 10.Climate Prediction Center sees 56% chance of ENSO neutral conditions in August-October+0.1%
• 2025. 12. 12.La Niña Is Fading: What It Means for South American Crop Potential - AgWeb-3.8%
• 2026. 1. 8.US CPC sees 75% chance of La Nina transition by early 2026 | Reuters-2.1%

과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 334건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.9%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

• 2020. 10. 7.La Niña's Mixed Blessing: For Australia, a 90% Jump in Wheat Production+0.4%
• 2018. 3. 6.La Niña Rains Bring Relief to Australian Wheat-0.0%
• 2018. 4. 25.El Niño–Southern Oscillation likely to remain neutral through winter - Grain Central+3.5%
• 2020. 5. 14.Weather models point to possible La Nina in spring - Grain Central+0.4%
• 2026. 1. 7.Mixed South Australian harvest finishing with a wet sail | Stock Journal | SA-0.2%