◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2017. 11. 17.날씨미국

Multi-year La Niña presents opportunity to predict drought impacts out to 2 years

NOAA-funded studies from the University of Texas at Austin predict that the current La Niña will likely last into a second year. The research finds La Niña's effect on southern US drought strengthens in the second year of a two-year event.

The work is aimed at forecasting drought impacts years ahead.

중요한 이유

Better drought forecasts help markets judge the risk to US southern crops and winter grazing over the coming years. The study itself is a research finding and does not change current supply.

영향 대상옥수수 대두 밀 (SRW)팜유

출처 1건
cpo.noaa.govKristina Kiest2017. 11. 17.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +1.2%5d +0.8%20d +6.3%

과거 날씨 이벤트 2,467건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.6%.

2021. 9. 10.La Niña Redux and the Present Drought+1.1%
2021. 4. 23.Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time | US CLIVAR+10.5%
2018. 2. 1.More U.S. drought in a second-year La Niña? | NOAA Climate.gov+0.6%
2022. 6. 9.La Niña Is Forecast to Impact Global Agriculture for a Third Year in a Row-1.6%
2025. 9. 15.La Niña looms over Brazil, raising fears of drought in the South+5.1%

대두방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +1.9%5d +2.2%20d -0.5%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,964건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2021. 9. 10.La Niña Redux and the Present Drought+3.0%
2021. 4. 23.Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time | US CLIVAR+0.6%
2022. 6. 9.La Niña Is Forecast to Impact Global Agriculture for a Third Year in a Row-2.7%
2025. 9. 15.La Niña looms over Brazil, raising fears of drought in the South-0.0%
2022. 8. 30.WMO predicts first “triple-dip” La Niña of the century-2.9%

밀 (SRW)방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +0.2%5d -2.9%20d -2.6%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,773건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

2021. 9. 10.La Niña Redux and the Present Drought+3.6%
2021. 4. 23.Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time | US CLIVAR+3.2%
2022. 6. 9.La Niña Is Forecast to Impact Global Agriculture for a Third Year in a Row+1.2%
2022. 8. 30.WMO predicts first “triple-dip” La Niña of the century-2.3%
2019. 6. 5.Droughts and flooding rains impact market | The Land | NSW+3.5%

팜유방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.3%5d -1.2%20d -6.5%

과거 날씨 이벤트 361건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2021. 9. 10.La Niña Redux and the Present Drought-0.0%
2021. 4. 23.Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time | US CLIVAR-0.2%
2026. 10. 22.Palm oil prices to stay high next year on Southeast Asia drought-0.4%
2018. 9. 12.Future impacts of El Niño, La Niña likely to intensify | EurekAlert!-1.8%
2024. 4. 24.Anticipating the La Niña Phenomenon: The Importance of Understanding and Mitigating Its Impacts-0.5%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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