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WTI crude futures have surged more than 40% so far this month to their highest levels since 2022. The rally followed U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran, which prompted Tehran to halt shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a chokepoint for about a fifth of world oil.
Analysts expect further gains as the conflict threatens export facilities.
Halted Hormuz shipping removes a major share of global crude flows, sustaining higher crude prices and raising fuel and freight costs for feed supply chains.
reuters.comFlorence Tan, Shariq Khan2026. 3. 15.과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 626건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +2.1% 변동(상승 62%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.3%~+8.5%), 20거래일 동안 +1.6%.
과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 656건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +1.9% 변동(상승 63%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.7%~+6.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.
과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 250건 이후, ULSD / 디젤은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +1.7% 변동(상승 58%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.6%~+8.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
WTI up over 40% month-to-date with analysts expecting further gains as export facilities are threatened, which lifted the crude feedstock and diesel complex into Mar 15-17.
Reuters on March 15 said oil was poised for further gains as the conflict threatened export facilities, reflecting the supply-risk sentiment that kept the rally going.
WTI was up more than 40% month to date and analysts expected further gains as export facilities were threatened, supporting upward momentum in diesel into March 15.
