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Oil prices fell on March 8 after Trump said the US was considering taking over the Strait of Hormuz and indicated the war would soon end. WTI traded down 6.19% to $85.27 after surging to $119.48 earlier, and Brent was 4.6% lower.
Trump also reportedly considered easing oil sanctions on Russia.
Prospects for a faster end to the conflict and possible Russian supply easing reduce the crude risk premium, lowering energy costs for feed producers. The earlier spike shows how sensitive prices are to Strait disruptions.
cnbc.comSpencer Kimball2026. 3. 8.과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 255건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -2.4% 변동(상승 31%; 중간 50% 범위 -7.0%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 -5.0%.
과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 250건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -3.1% 변동(상승 36%; 중간 50% 범위 -7.9%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 -5.5%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Trump's comments about taking over Hormuz and ending the war soon began the retreat from the spike highs, setting up the further drop.
WTI spiked to $119 intraday then reversed on Trump's comments, adding volatility to the window's ending level.
