◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2018. 3. 28.보고서글로벌

Two-thirds of global cropland area impacted by climate oscillations

A Nature Communications study finds that during 1961–2010 crop productivity was significantly influenced by at least one large-scale climate oscillation (ENSO, IOD or NAO) across two-thirds of global cropland. The authors also report new possible links between NAO and crop productivity in Africa and the Middle East.

중요한 이유

Recurring ENSO, IOD and NAO cycles mean a large share of global crop yields is exposed to predictable weather shocks, which can support price risk planning for feed grains. The findings are structural and do not signal an immediate supply change.

영향 대상옥수수◆대두◆밀 (SRW)◆

출처 1건
nature.comHeino, Matias, Puma, Michael J., Ward, Philip J., Gerten, Dieter, Heck, Vera2018. 3. 28.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수◆중립현재까지1d -0.1%5d +3.3%20d +4.9%

과거 중립 보고서 이벤트 770건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.1%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

2019. 11. 8.Nation's corn crop is shrinking | 2019-11-08 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.0%
2018. 3. 22.Study: Climate effects on ag yields vary by location, crop | IANR News-0.2%
2020. 9. 2.Corn market still mulling impacts of derecho, Chinese buying spree | 2020-09-01 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.4%
2021. 2. 18.2019 Covered Commodity Dashboard and Implications for the Crop Safety Net - farmdoc daily+0.8%
2023. 8. 24.Conab analyzes conditions of second and third harvest crops - Revista Cultivar-2.8%

대두◆중립현재까지1d -0.1%5d -0.4%20d +0.8%

과거 중립 보고서 이벤트 563건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 48%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 -0.1%.

2018. 3. 22.Study: Climate effects on ag yields vary by location, crop | IANR News-1.1%
2022. 11. 9.WASDE reveals small crops are done getting smaller | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.9%
2022. 12. 9.USDA’s WASDE leaves most grain and oilseed estimates unchanged | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0.9%
2020. 5. 12.Corn ending stocks grow but not like traders expected | 2020-05-12 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0.9%
2019. 8. 12.USDA trims corn, soybean acres off June estimates | 2019-08-12 | Agri-Pulse | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-0.7%

밀 (SRW)◆중립현재까지1d -0.1%5d +1.0%20d +4.9%

과거 중립 보고서 이벤트 406건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.2% 변동(상승 47%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+1.5%), 20거래일 동안 +0.0%.

2021. 2. 18.2019 Covered Commodity Dashboard and Implications for the Crop Safety Net - farmdoc daily+1.6%
2023. 6. 19.Australia’s national wheat production dips while global crops prove ‘significantly’ bigger than expected | Countryman+2.6%
2023. 8. 24.Conab analyzes conditions of second and third harvest crops - Revista Cultivar-4.9%
2023. 4. 21.A larger corn crop is expected globally-8.6%
2020. 3. 11.‘Benign’ WASDE makes minimal changes in numbers | 2020-03-10 | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-4.9%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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