El Niño set to return before end of the year: Kemp

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 181건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 56%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.9%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

• 2021. 12. 31.Oilseeds at the turn of the year 2021-22 market report+5.5%
• 2017. 5. 2.Probability of El Niño this year at least 50% – Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre+3.2%
• 2023. 6. 27.Palm oil will rise in price in the second half of the year – forecast+12.1%
• 2023. 7. 7.Malaysia forecasts peak of El Niño to hit in early 2024-0.1%
• 2017. 3. 14.Weak El Nino to have small impact on Asian crops this year | The Star+1.5%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,465건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2026. 5. 6.Widespread ASAP forecast warnings on crops for second half of the year due to upcoming El Niño conditions - Joint Research Centre+1.7%
• 2023. 9. 14.2023 Corn Yield Forecasts: End-of-season Forecasts Suggest Near to Below-average Yields for the Region | CropWatch | Nebraska-6.5%
• 2022. 10. 6.Is La Nina Returning to Southern Brazil?+0.8%
• 2024. 3. 28.El Niño to La Niña-2.0%
• 2021. 6. 21.The storm before the calm-3.3%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,079건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2022. 10. 6.Is La Nina Returning to Southern Brazil?+1.9%
• 2024. 3. 28.El Niño to La Niña-1.0%
• 2024. 5. 9.El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster | Reuters+0.1%
• 2023. 5. 24.The U.S. Now Has a Nearly 90% Chance of Seeing El Niño This Summer - AgWeb-1.7%
• 2025. 9. 1.La Niña may return but temperatures are likely to be above average-2.2%