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2018. 10. 22.날씨미국

Another mild winter? NOAA’s 2018-19 winter outlook

NOAA's Climate Prediction Center released its 2018-19 winter temperature and precipitation outlook, presented as probabilities of below, near, or above average outcomes. The outlook depends on whether El Niño develops in time to influence winter conditions.

중요한 이유

A developing El Niño typically brings drier conditions to Southeast Asia, Australia and parts of South America, which can cut crop yields and lift feed ingredient prices later in the season. The forecast is a routine seasonal outlook rather than a new supply event, so the immediate price impact is limited.

영향 대상옥수수◆대두◆

출처 1건
climate.govMike Halpert2018. 10. 22.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수◆중립현재까지1d -0.9%5d -1.2%20d -6.0%

과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 445건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

2018. 7. 27.Look South, ENSO Forecasters! | NOAA Climate.gov+0.9%
2019. 11. 4.Winter Weather Outlook for 2019-2020 | Integrated Crop Management+0.9%
2021. 10. 25.November and Winter Weather Outlooks for 2021 | Integrated Crop Management+3.5%
2018. 1. 18.NWS Outlook for First Half of 2018 – Illinois State Climatologist+0.7%
2019. 3. 13.Climate outlook for 2019 growing season in Georgia | Viticulture+4.3%

대두◆중립현재까지1d +0.2%5d -1.4%20d +4.1%

과거 중립 날씨 이벤트 324건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.

2018. 7. 27.Look South, ENSO Forecasters! | NOAA Climate.gov+2.5%
2018. 3. 6.Outlook for the 2018 growing season | Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast-3.1%
2018. 1. 18.NWS Outlook for First Half of 2018 – Illinois State Climatologist+2.4%
2019. 3. 13.Climate outlook for 2019 growing season in Georgia | Viticulture+2.2%
2019. 12. 12.December 2019 ENSO update: neutral, rinse, repeat | NOAA Climate.gov+3.9%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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