
Emerging markets sold off on Thursday as fears about US trade wars, Federal Reserve rate hikes and ECB bond-buying changes spread. Brazil was hit hardest, with its stock market falling more than 7% at one point and its currency weakening as much as 3% on fiscal and political worries.
Capital outflows from emerging markets weaken their currencies, which lowers the dollar price of their agricultural exports and can pressure global feed prices. Trade-war fears also add risk to soybean and grain demand.
과거 상승 거시 이벤트 301건 이후, 브라질 헤알 (USD당 BRL)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 57%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.2%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +1.0%.
과거 상승 거시 이벤트 2,356건 이후, 미국 달러 (광의 지수)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 60%; 중간 50% 범위 -0.3%~+0.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.4%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Broad emerging-market selloff on Fed hikes and trade war fears hit Brazil hardest, with the currency down up to 3% on fiscal and political worries.
Broad emerging-market selloff on June 7 (Fed hikes, trade war fears) with Brazil hit hardest on fiscal and political worries drove capital outflows and a weaker real.