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Wisconsin economist Bob Cropp says COVID-19 uncertainty will keep dairy demand depressed until the virus is better controlled. CME cheddar block prices peaked at $3 per pound on July 13 and fell to around $1.71 by late August.
The August Class III price is near $19.45, and Cropp expects it could slide into the $16 range.
Weaker dairy demand and falling cheese prices point to lower Class III milk prices through year-end, which reduces the value of milk-based feed inputs for buyers.
farmprogress.comFran O'Leary2020. 8. 31.과거 하락 거시 이벤트 49건 이후, 우유 (Class III)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.6% 변동(상승 33%; 중간 50% 범위 -8.5%~+0.6%), 20거래일 동안 -7.5%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Cropp's note that block cheese fell from $3 to about $1.71 amid weak COVID-driven demand, with Class III possibly sliding to $16, supports a bearish repricing of futures into the Sept 1 drop.
