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Crude palm oil futures on Bursa Malaysia fell 3.3% to 3,455 ringgit a tonne on April 27, the lowest since early October. Indonesia changed its domestic market obligation rules, cutting the domestic cooking oil target to 300,000 tonnes a month and tightening the export ratio from 6:1 to 4:1, effective May 1.
The policy shift is expected to free more Indonesian palm oil for export, increasing global availability and pressuring prices from the largest producer.
fastmarkets.comthe Fastmarkets team, Min Jie Yaw2023. 4. 28.과거 하락 정책 이벤트 400건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.0% 변동(상승 49%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.
과거 하락 정책 이벤트 351건 이후, 대두유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.0% 변동(상승 49%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Indonesia's revised domestic market obligation and looser export ratio, effective May 1, pushed futures to a six-month low in the days just before the window, signaling more export supply.
Palm oil fell to a six-month low on Indonesia's looser export policy, which adds vegetable oil supply to global markets and pressures competing soybean oil; the policy took effect May 1.
Indonesia's loosened DMO and export ratio, effective May 1, raise expected global supply and pushed CPO to a six-month low, setting up the May 1 drop.
