◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2022. 10. 31.지정학흑해

Wheat up 6% after Russia quits Black Sea pact; corn, soy firm

U.S. wheat futures jumped 6% to a two-week high on Monday, and corn rose 1.6%, after Russia withdrew from the Black Sea grain export agreement. Concerns grew over global grain supplies from Ukraine.

중요한 이유

Losing the safe corridor for Ukrainian grain exports tightens global wheat and corn supply, pushing feed grain and wheat prices higher and raising costs for feed buyers.

영향 대상밀 (SRW)▲대두 옥수수▲귀리 미국 달러 (광의 지수)밀 (HRW)▲

출처 1건
reuters.comJulie Ingwersen2022. 10. 31.

가격 반응 및 이력

밀 (SRW)▲상승현재까지1d -4.9%5d -5.6%20d +2.4%

과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 361건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.7% 변동(상승 58%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+3.7%), 20거래일 동안 +1.3%.

2022. 10. 31.U.N. Black Sea grain pact under threat as Russia quits | Reuters-5.6%
2023. 7. 17.Black Sea grain deal expires after Russia quits | Reuters+2.4%
2026. 9. 1.GRAINS-Chicago wheat hits multi-year peak after Russia rejects Black Sea grain plan - NewsX+0.8%
2022. 3. 1.Concerns rise over Black Sea spring crops amid Russia-Ukraine war | Reuters+10.5%
2026. 7. 20.Wheat Climbs on Black Sea Risk, Soybeans Firm as China Returns+3.1%

대두방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +1.4%5d +4.6%20d +5.0%

과거 지정학 이벤트 152건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 53%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.8%.

2023. 7. 17.Black Sea grain deal expires after Russia quits | Reuters+0.4%
2026. 7. 20.Wheat Climbs on Black Sea Risk, Soybeans Firm as China Returns+3.6%
2022. 9. 28.Wheat up on war worries; corn, soy also firm despite recession fears | Financial Post-1.7%
2026. 7. 15.Wheat Skyrockets as Black Sea Exports Threatened, Pulling up Corn and Soybeans - AgWeb+1.0%
2022. 2. 28.Wheat Continues Surge on Black Sea Supply Concerns as Ukraine-Russia Crisis Continues+5.4%

옥수수▲상승현재까지1d -1.3%5d -2.2%20d -3.8%

과거 상승 지정학 이벤트 323건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 57%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

2022. 10. 31.U.N. Black Sea grain pact under threat as Russia quits | Reuters-2.2%
2023. 7. 17.Black Sea grain deal expires after Russia quits | Reuters-8.6%
2022. 11. 1.Wheat futures tumble after Russia rejoins Black Sea grain corridor deal - Fastmarkets+0.0%
2022. 3. 1.Concerns rise over Black Sea spring crops amid Russia-Ukraine war | Reuters+4.7%
2022. 10. 31.Wheat futures jump, hitting record high in Sydney, after Russia exits Black Sea deal - Grain Price News-2.2%

귀리방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +6.1%5d +6.6%20d +5.7%

과거 비교 가능한 이벤트가 아직 부족해 이력 분석을 할 수 없습니다.

2026. 6. 15.Focus: Russian attacks could cut Ukraine grain exports by a third | Reuters+2.3%
2025. 4. 28.Russia faces a deepening agricultural crisis-1.0%
2026. 3. 12.Oats can improve soil and water quality. All that’s missing is a market for them. - FoodPrint+2.3%
2022. 3. 24.Uncertainty dominates global, US wheat markets | World Grain+1.1%
2026. 9. 25.What’s Behind the Latest Surge in Grain and Oilseed Prices?-2.8%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

밀 (SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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