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2023. 1. 20.날씨미국

outlook+water: 2022 was pretty drouthy, hot and dry is the new black, La Niña’s days are (still) numbered

Texas+Water reports that 2022 was the state's 11th warmest, 13th driest and 10th most drought-affected year on record. The article says the next three months are expected to be warmer and drier than normal, and La Niña is expected to fade to neutral by spring.

중요한 이유

Continued dryness in Texas and the southern Plains could reduce grazing and pasture conditions, supporting cattle and feed demand. The effect on national feed prices is limited.

영향 대상옥수수 대두 밀 (SRW)팜유

출처 1건
texaspluswater.wp.txstate.eduRobert Mace2023. 1. 20.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.1%5d -0.5%20d -0.9%

과거 날씨 이벤트 2,467건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.6%.

2025. 9. 8.The El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Drought Outlook in the United States | September 8, 2025 | Drought.gov-0.1%
2025. 10. 17.La Niña Watch Is On — Here’s How It Could Shake Up Drought and Winter Weather - AgWeb-0.0%
2026. 1. 8.2026 Weather Outlook: La Niña’s Quick Exit, El Niño’s Potential and the Signals Farmers Should Watch - AgWeb-3.4%
2021. 9. 10.La Niña Redux and the Present Drought+1.1%
2020. 8. 21.Livestock Wx for 8/21/20: Predicting derechos; La Niña odds influence Sep-Oct-Nov outlook - Texas and Southwestern Cattle Raisers Association+3.5%

대두방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.5%5d +0.6%20d +0.8%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,964건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2025. 10. 17.La Niña Watch Is On — Here’s How It Could Shake Up Drought and Winter Weather - AgWeb+3.4%
2026. 1. 8.2026 Weather Outlook: La Niña’s Quick Exit, El Niño’s Potential and the Signals Farmers Should Watch - AgWeb-2.1%
2021. 9. 10.La Niña Redux and the Present Drought+3.0%
2017. 10. 20.La Niña Watch issued by the Climate Prediction Center-1.5%
2017. 11. 17.La Nina and New Winter/Spring Outlooks | Illinois State Climatologist | Illinois State Water Survey | Prairie Research Institute+2.2%

밀 (SRW)방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +0.2%5d -2.9%20d +0.1%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,773건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

2021. 12. 17.Drought and Demand Drive the 2022 Wheat Outlook - AgWeb+4.9%
2021. 9. 10.La Niña Redux and the Present Drought+3.6%
2017. 10. 20.La Niña Watch issued by the Climate Prediction Center-0.0%
2017. 11. 17.La Nina and New Winter/Spring Outlooks | Illinois State Climatologist | Illinois State Water Survey | Prairie Research Institute-2.9%
2025. 11. 27.La Niña slows soybean planting and narrows Brazil’s 2025/26 production outlook+2.1%

팜유방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +0.2%5d -0.4%20d +0.8%

과거 날씨 이벤트 361건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2021. 9. 10.La Niña Redux and the Present Drought-0.0%
2017. 10. 20.La Niña Watch issued by the Climate Prediction Center+1.0%
2017. 11. 17.La Nina and New Winter/Spring Outlooks | Illinois State Climatologist | Illinois State Water Survey | Prairie Research Institute-1.2%
2021. 12. 23.Will the Cotton Blanket Cover 12M-plus Acres in 2022? Ask La Niña - AgWeb+1.6%
2019. 10. 31.Scary or Merry? Here's the 2020 Winter Weather Outlook - Growing Produce+14.0%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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