2026 Weather Outlook: La Niña’s Quick Exit, El Niño’s Potential and the Signals Farmers Should Watch

과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 357건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.3% 변동(상승 44%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.2%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.5%.

• 2025. 8. 27.La Nada, No Problem: Weather Outlook for 2025 Harvest and Beyond - Farmer Mac+3.6%
• 2019. 3. 22.vDouglas: Weather outlooks shows continued El Niño around the world – Wyoming Livestock Roundup-1.9%
• 2017. 12. 22.Ag Weather Forum: Favorable South America Rain Outlook | La Niña Ready Nations+0.1%
• 2023. 4. 21.As El Niño Makes Its Grand Return, Here's What It Tells Us About Summer Weather and Corn Yields - AgWeb-1.6%
• 2026. 6. 4.Corn and soybeans extend losses as favorable crop weather improves outlook-2.5%

과거 하락 날씨 이벤트 363건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.6% 변동(상승 42%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.5%~+1.1%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

• 2025. 8. 27.La Nada, No Problem: Weather Outlook for 2025 Harvest and Beyond - Farmer Mac-1.2%
• 2019. 3. 22.vDouglas: Weather outlooks shows continued El Niño around the world – Wyoming Livestock Roundup-2.3%
• 2025. 12. 12.La Niña Is Fading: What It Means for South American Crop Potential - AgWeb-3.8%
• 2017. 12. 22.Ag Weather Forum: Favorable South America Rain Outlook | La Niña Ready Nations+0.3%
• 2025. 11. 7.Wet Argentine farmland offsets drier La Nina outlook | Reuters+3.7%