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November soybean futures jumped after USDA's June stocks and acreage reports showed soybean plantings about 4 million acres below March intentions. Corn June 1 stocks came in at 4.106 billion bushels, the lowest since 2013-14, and corn plantings were 94.1 million acres, well above trade estimates.
The soybean acreage shortfall and tighter corn stocks support prices for both crops, with lower soybean supplies adding support to meal and oil.
dtnpf.comDana Mantini2023. 6. 30.과거 상승 보고서 이벤트 747건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.8%.
과거 상승 보고서 이벤트 414건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 48%; 중간 50% 범위 -2.1%~+2.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.
과거 중립 보고서 이벤트 770건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.1%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 +0.7%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
The June 30 Acreage report showed corn plantings of 94.1 million acres, well above trade estimates, which is bearish for supply and likely drove the sharp drop, partly offset by low June 1 stocks.
The USDA June Acreage report (soybean plantings ~4M acres below March intentions) is the likely cause of the soybean surge, but it was released 2023-06-30, after the move window ending 06/29, so this is only a possible link via pre-report positioning.
