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Analysts at Feed Strategy said USDA's August cuts to U.S. soybean production were larger than expected, but prices fell as demand and export forecasts were also reduced. The analysis noted that the survey predates August rains and that China's state reserve has been buying soybeans.
Demand from Germany for biodiesel feedstock was also cited.
Reduced U.S. supply supports soybean prices, but expected Chinese stockpiling and rising European crush demand could offset this. Buyers should watch whether the August rains improve yields.
feedstrategy.comEmma Penrod2023. 8. 16.과거 상승 보고서 이벤트 747건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.8%.
과거 중립 보고서 이벤트 250건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.1% 변동(상승 49%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.4%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
Prices fell after USDA's August report despite production cuts because demand and export forecasts were also reduced and rains post-dated the survey, pointing to a bearish demand reaction.
