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2024. 1. 16.날씨미국

Potential impacts of El Niño on crop production

AGDAILY describes how El Niño typically peaks in late fall or early winter and affects Midwest winter conditions. It notes that El Niño is not strongly predictive of US corn and soybean yields because summer weather drives yields.

중요한 이유

Because El Niño has weak predictive power for summer yields, the piece offers little direct price signal for corn and soybeans.

영향 대상옥수수 대두 밀 (SRW)팜유

출처 1건
agdaily.comAGDAILY Contributors2024. 1. 16.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.5%5d -0.4%20d -5.4%

과거 날씨 이벤트 2,467건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.6%.

2026. 9. 5.AgroENSO Maps El Niño Impacts on Argentina Crops+0.4%
2026. 9. 11.East Africa Seasonal Monitor: El Niño impacts lead to poor production across East Africa’s high potential zones, September 11, 2026 - Kenya | ReliefWeb+2.5%
2021. 8. 27.Potential Brazil corn and soybean production in 2021/22-4.6%
2022. 2. 16.Grains Production Estimates Slashed as Impact of La Niña Shows | CZ app+5.1%
2026. 4. 9.Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg+0.9%

대두방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +1.8%5d +1.5%20d -1.1%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,964건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2026. 9. 5.AgroENSO Maps El Niño Impacts on Argentina Crops-0.7%
2026. 9. 11.East Africa Seasonal Monitor: El Niño impacts lead to poor production across East Africa’s high potential zones, September 11, 2026 - Kenya | ReliefWeb+0.3%
2021. 8. 27.Potential Brazil corn and soybean production in 2021/22-6.5%
2022. 2. 16.Grains Production Estimates Slashed as Impact of La Niña Shows | CZ app+8.0%
2026. 4. 9.Rising Odds of Strong El Niño Point to Global Weather and Crop Impacts - Bloomberg+0.4%

밀 (SRW)방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.4%5d -0.8%20d -5.7%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,773건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

2026. 9. 5.AgroENSO Maps El Niño Impacts on Argentina Crops+1.5%
2026. 9. 11.East Africa Seasonal Monitor: El Niño impacts lead to poor production across East Africa’s high potential zones, September 11, 2026 - Kenya | ReliefWeb-1.3%
2018. 8. 3.Chart: Heat Wave Impacts EU Wheat Production | Statista+3.3%
2017. 4. 18.IRI scientists weigh-in on the potential for El Niño’s return+1.0%
2023. 10. 18.Current ENSO and IOD Conditions, Forecasts, and the Potential Impacts-1.9%

팜유방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d -0.2%5d -0.2%20d -1.4%

과거 날씨 이벤트 361건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2026. 9. 5.AgroENSO Maps El Niño Impacts on Argentina Crops-1.6%
2026. 7. 1.El Niño impact on Malaysian and Indonesian palm oil production | Report+0.6%
2026. 9. 11.East Africa Seasonal Monitor: El Niño impacts lead to poor production across East Africa’s high potential zones, September 11, 2026 - Kenya | ReliefWeb-1.4%
2023. 11. 30.El Niño ahead: Potential disruption to fishmeal supply in 2024-2.6%
2017. 4. 18.IRI scientists weigh-in on the potential for El Niño’s return+0.3%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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