El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,465건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2024. 5. 9.El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster | Reuters+2.7%
• 2021. 11. 23.Officially Official, La Nina has Developed-3.9%
• 2024. 9. 12.La Nina weather 71% likely to develop in Sept-Nov, says US forecaster | Reuters+4.9%
• 2021. 9. 9.La Nina Development Has Potential to Affect Crops in US, South America+1.3%
• 2023. 10. 19.El Nino to continue into mid-2024, threatening agriculture+1.0%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,079건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2024. 5. 9.El Nino to end by June, La Nina seen in second half of 2024, says U.S. forecaster | Reuters+0.1%
• 2021. 11. 23.Officially Official, La Nina has Developed-4.5%
• 2024. 9. 12.La Nina weather 71% likely to develop in Sept-Nov, says US forecaster | Reuters+3.5%
• 2021. 9. 9.La Nina Development Has Potential to Affect Crops in US, South America+1.9%
• 2024. 4. 11.This El Nino-to-La Nina Spring is Drier Compared With Analog Years-1.3%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 453건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+2.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.5%.

• 2024. 9. 12.La Nina weather 71% likely to develop in Sept-Nov, says US forecaster | Reuters+1.3%
• 2025. 9. 15.Flip to El Nino in 2026 Increasingly Confident - Climate Impact Company-1.4%
• 2020. 11. 16.La Nina Impact to Continue+1.7%
• 2025. 1. 15.Very Dry Last Half of Growing Season Took top End Off US Corn, Soybean Yields+3.2%
• 2023. 11. 30.El Niño ahead: Potential disruption to fishmeal supply in 2024-4.6%