Flip to El Nino in 2026 Increasingly Confident

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,465건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.2% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+1.9%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2026. 2. 22.El Nino Analogs for U.S. Corn Belt JUN-SEP - Climate Impact Company+2.1%
• 2021. 5. 4.Global Crop Areas Susceptible to Drought - Climate Impact Company+1.5%
• 2026. 4. 24.Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 | Reuters+1.2%
• 2023. 10. 19.El Nino to continue into mid-2024, threatening agriculture+1.0%
• 2021. 9. 2.Climate Forecast Catalysts to Produce a Wet Spring Forecast for Brazil Are Not Developing - Climate Impact Company-3.0%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 1,079건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.3% 변동(상승 54%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.4%~+2.0%), 20거래일 동안 +0.9%.

• 2026. 2. 22.El Nino Analogs for U.S. Corn Belt JUN-SEP - Climate Impact Company+1.7%
• 2021. 5. 4.Global Crop Areas Susceptible to Drought - Climate Impact Company+3.8%
• 2021. 9. 2.Climate Forecast Catalysts to Produce a Wet Spring Forecast for Brazil Are Not Developing - Climate Impact Company-1.5%
• 2020. 11. 16.La Nina Impact to Continue+3.5%
• 2023. 1. 27.Watching Northwest/North Brazil Second Corn Crop for Drought Risk - Climate Impact Company+0.7%

과거 상승 날씨 이벤트 453건 이후, 대두박은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.5% 변동(상승 55%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.6%~+2.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.5%.

• 2020. 11. 16.La Nina Impact to Continue+1.7%
• 2023. 1. 27.Watching Northwest/North Brazil Second Corn Crop for Drought Risk - Climate Impact Company+2.6%
• 2019. 11. 7.Global Soil Moisture Anomalies And 3-Month Trend - Climate Impact Company+1.7%
• 2024. 2. 8.El Nino waning, La Nina to develop in second half of 2024-1.9%
• 2023. 11. 30.El Niño ahead: Potential disruption to fishmeal supply in 2024-4.6%