Oil Surplus Outlook, Uncertain Geopolitics Led OPEC+ to Pause Hikes: Rystad - OPIS, A Dow Jones Company

과거 하락 정책 이벤트 210건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -0.9% 변동(상승 48%; 중간 50% 범위 -3.8%~+3.2%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

• 2021. 5. 27.Uncertain about Iranian oil, OPEC+ likely to stick to policy+3.1%
• 2025. 6. 6.HSBC flags downside risks to Brent price outlook due to OPEC+ supply hikes+5.8%
• 2021. 12. 2.Oil Plunges 4.8% as Russia Is Said to Propose OPEC+ Output Hike - Bloomberg+9.7%
• 2021. 9. 1.OPEC+ sticks to gradual oil output hikes, ups demand forecast-2.2%
• 2021. 9. 1.Oil steadies; OPEC+ sticks to gradual output hikes | Reuters-2.2%

과거 하락 정책 이벤트 215건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -4.4%~+3.3%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

• 2021. 5. 27.Uncertain about Iranian oil, OPEC+ likely to stick to policy+3.7%
• 2021. 12. 2.Oil Plunges 4.8% as Russia Is Said to Propose OPEC+ Output Hike - Bloomberg+10.6%
• 2021. 9. 1.OPEC+ sticks to gradual oil output hikes, ups demand forecast+1.3%
• 2021. 9. 1.Oil steadies; OPEC+ sticks to gradual output hikes | Reuters+1.3%
• 2017. 6. 27.OPEC in no rush on deeper oil output cut, to look at in July+7.1%