불러오는 중…
Brazil's central bank cut its benchmark Selic rate by a half percentage point to a record low of 6%, more than the 18 of 45 economists surveyed by Bloomberg had forecast. Policymakers said below-target inflation forecasts for 2020 leave room for further easing, and the economy is expected to grow less than 1% this year.
Lower Brazilian rates and expected further easing tend to weaken the real, which raises USD/BRL and can make dollar-priced Brazilian feed exports less competitive while supporting domestic demand.
dailymaverick.co.zaBloomberg2019. 8. 1.과거 상승 거시 이벤트 301건 이후, 브라질 헤알 (USD당 BRL)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.4% 변동(상승 57%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.2%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +1.0%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
A larger-than-expected 50bp Selic cut to a record-low 6% with signaled further easing reduces BRL carry appeal and yield support, plausibly driving capital outflows and BRL depreciation (higher BRL per USD), though other global factors (e.g., Fed/trade-war risk-off around the same date) may have also contributed.
The larger-than-expected Selic cut to a record-low 6% on 2019-08-01, with signals of more easing, narrowed Brazil's interest-rate differential and weakened the real, which contributed to the BRL per USD rise in the window.
