February Nymex gas futures fell 9.5 cents to $3.523/mmBtu, down 11.6% since the January contract expired. Forecasts turned materially warmer, with temperatures expected to average about 50°F and no major cold shots through January 19.
Analysts estimated the revision could remove about 35 Bcf of demand from a 15-day outlook.
Warmer forecasts cut projected heating demand and reduce the risk of freeze-offs, which lowers near-term gas price expectations.
過去の弱気な天候イベント104件の後、天然ガス は5営業日で中央値 -7.8% 動き(22% が上昇。中央50%は -14.8% から -0.8%)、20営業日では -3.3% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
Forecasts turned materially warmer with no major cold through Jan 19, removing about 35 Bcf of demand and leaving Feb Nymex down 11.6% since the January contract expired.