
USDA Ag Secretary Brooke Rollins said the US will not reopen the border to Mexican cattle while New World screwworm remains a threat, which initially supported prices. A later report that President Trump was very interested in reopening the border triggered a sharp selloff, with December live cattle down $4.42 and January feeders down $7.30 on Tuesday.
Uncertainty over reopening Mexican feeder cattle imports creates swings in futures, and the market reaction shows how quickly headlines can override tight-supply fundamentals.
過去の弱気な貿易イベント121件の後、生牛 は5営業日で中央値 -0.6% 動き(40% が上昇。中央50%は -1.6% から +0.8%)、20営業日では -0.3% 動きました。
過去の弱気な貿易イベント87件の後、フィーダー牛 は5営業日で中央値 +0.4% 動き(54% が上昇。中央50%は -3.2% から +1.9%)、20営業日では +1.1% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
A report that Trump was keen to reopen the Mexican border triggered a sharp selloff, with January feeders down $7.30 on Nov 4, despite Rollins' earlier supportive comments.
Report that Trump was interested in reopening the Mexican border triggered a sharp selloff (Dec live cattle -$4.42 on Nov 4), squarely within the 5-day window, through supply-expectation and sentiment effects.