
Analyst Dorab Mistry raised his 2018 Indonesian palm oil output forecast to 40 million tonnes from 38.5 million, citing faster plantation expansion. He expects Malaysian end-2018 stocks to reach 3.0-3.3 million tonnes and Indonesian stocks to keep rising from near 5 million tonnes.
Higher output and heavy year-end stocks add supply pressure, and prices would need to fall toward about 2,100 ringgit to regain competitiveness.
過去の弱気なレポートイベント96件の後、パーム油 は5営業日で中央値 -0.1% 動き(48% が上昇。中央50%は -1.3% から +1.6%)、20営業日では -0.9% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
Dorab Mistry's higher Indonesian output forecast and expected rise in Malaysian stocks, published just before the move, feed bearish supply sentiment that could carry into the next session.
Mistry's higher Indonesian output forecast and rising Malaysian and Indonesian stock expectations reinforce the bearish supply outlook.