As oil prices weather storm, OPEC looks for long-term boost from Harvey

過去の弱気な地政学イベント255件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 -2.4% 動き（31% が上昇。中央50%は -7.0% から +1.7%）、20営業日では -5.0% 動きました。

• 2026/03/08Oil prices fall as Trump weighs taking over Strait of Hormuz+8.5%
• 2026/03/09Oil Futures Fall As Market Looks for Shorter War - WSJ+8.5%
• 2026/04/01Grain, Oilseed Prices Fall as Traders Look for End to Iran War - Bloomberg-6.6%
• 2026/04/13Oil prices fall as supply concerns ease on hopes for US-Iran talks - CNA-12.8%
• 2026/10/29US oil prices fall as investors gauge risks to Mideast supply By Reuters-2.3%

過去の弱気な地政学イベント250件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 -3.1% 動き（36% が上昇。中央50%は -7.9% から +1.6%）、20営業日では -5.5% 動きました。

• 2026/03/08Oil prices fall as Trump weighs taking over Strait of Hormuz+9.5%
• 2026/03/09Oil Futures Fall As Market Looks for Shorter War - WSJ+9.5%
• 2026/04/01Grain, Oilseed Prices Fall as Traders Look for End to Iran War - Bloomberg-12.2%
• 2026/04/13Oil prices fall as supply concerns ease on hopes for US-Iran talks - CNA-11.3%
• 2026/10/29US oil prices fall as investors gauge risks to Mideast supply By Reuters-5.4%

過去の強気な地政学イベント250件の後、ULSD / ディーゼル は5営業日で中央値 +1.7% 動き（58% が上昇。中央50%は -3.6% から +8.7%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

• 2019/09/16Oil out of the gate: higher by 11-14% for key benchmarks, but diesel prices lag - FreightWaves+5.7%
• 2018/09/24Oil prices at highest levels in 4 years after OPEC says it won't raise output | CBC News+5.8%
• 2022/05/30U.S., European thirst for fuel sends physical oil prices soaring+9.9%
• 2023/12/26After dropping for 8 weeks, benchmark diesel price turns higher - FreightWaves-3.9%
• 2025/01/10Oil prices rally 3% as US hits Russian oil with tougher sanctions+10.5%