Cattle futures and cash markets are correcting as USDA begins reopening the Mexican border to cattle imports in stages starting July 7. An analyst estimates 600,000 to 700,000 cattle were held back in Mexico and may return as heavier feeders.
Returning Mexican feeder cattle add supply to the feeder market, which is bearish for feeder and live cattle prices and may weigh on corn and feed demand sentiment.
過去の弱気な貿易イベント87件の後、フィーダー牛 は5営業日で中央値 +0.4% 動き(54% が上昇。中央50%は -3.2% から +1.9%)、20営業日では +1.1% 動きました。
過去の弱気な貿易イベント121件の後、生牛 は5営業日で中央値 -0.6% 動き(40% が上昇。中央50%は -1.6% から +0.8%)、20営業日では -0.3% 動きました。
イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。
It describes the staged border reopening (from July 7) and 600-700k head potentially returning, a supply-side driver of the correction, though published two days after the move and so more confirming than causal.
It describes a futures and cash correction on the Mexican border reopening, with 600-700k held-back head potentially returning, though it is dated just after the window.