Grains Close Higher a Second Week: How High Will Prices Rally?

過去の強気な地政学イベント361件の後、小麦(SRW) は5営業日で中央値 +0.7% 動き（58% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +3.7%）、20営業日では +1.3% 動きました。

• 2023/12/19Terrain | Rally in U.S. Wheat Prices Will Depend on Russia+0.4%
• 2022/03/02Wheat Prices Shoot to 14-Year High on Concerns over Conflict Between Russia and Ukraine - AgWeb+6.9%
• 2022/03/22Crops extend gains on supply worries with soy at 2-week high - Moneyweb+2.0%
• 2025/02/14Wheat, the Dog of the Grain Complex, Rallies to New Highs for the Move - AgWeb+1.6%
• 2026/07/24Grains Markets Hit New Highs on Black Sea Attacks, Crude Oil Rally-2.2%

過去の強気な地政学イベント94件の後、小麦(HRW) は5営業日で中央値 +0.1% 動き（50% が上昇。中央50%は -2.7% から +5.8%）、20営業日では +0.1% 動きました。

• 2023/12/19Terrain | Rally in U.S. Wheat Prices Will Depend on Russia+2.4%
• 2022/03/02Wheat Prices Shoot to 14-Year High on Concerns over Conflict Between Russia and Ukraine - AgWeb+17.2%
• 2025/02/14Wheat, the Dog of the Grain Complex, Rallies to New Highs for the Move - AgWeb+1.8%
• 2022/01/31Russia-Ukraine Tensions Drive Global Wheat Prices Higher-2.1%
• 2023/07/24Grain prices heat up on weather, war worries-0.5%

過去の中立な地政学イベント31件の後、トウモロコシ は5営業日で中央値 -0.3% 動き（42% が上昇。中央50%は -2.3% から +1.1%）、20営業日では +0.2% 動きました。

• 2025/02/14Wheat, the Dog of the Grain Complex, Rallies to New Highs for the Move - AgWeb+1.4%
• 2023/11/22Wheat jumps 1% to near 2-week high on Black Sea supply concerns - Markets - Business Recorder-3.5%
• 2023/10/26U.S. grains: Wheat up off two-week low on Ukraine export uncertainty - AgCanada-3.5%
• 2026/10/05Farmers Face A Fertilizer Market Full of Wild Cards - AgWeb-3.5%
• 2026/08/31First Thing Today | Grains mostly weaker overnight; EPA news may come today - Pro Farmer-0.3%