Oil steadies after choppy trade, U.S. says export ban not ruled out

過去の弱気な政策イベント215件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 +0.1% 動き（51% が上昇。中央50%は -4.4% から +3.3%）、20営業日では +0.2% 動きました。

• 2025/10/05Oil rises after OPEC+ hikes output less than expected | Reuters-3.1%
• 2021/09/01Oil steadies; OPEC+ sticks to gradual output hikes | Reuters+1.3%
• 2026/07/05OPEC+ approves further oil output increase as Hormuz exports start to recover | Reuters+3.9%
• 2018/11/03U.S. allows eight importers to keep buying Iran oil for now | Reuters-4.7%
• 2018/08/08Iran says OPEC may need extraordinary meeting over output changes-3.1%

過去の政策イベント833件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 +0.6% 動き（54% が上昇。中央50%は -3.3% から +3.7%）、20営業日では +1.3% 動きました。

• 2025/06/27Oil steadies after report of planned OPEC+ August output hike | Reuters+2.1%
• 2022/08/30Palm Oil Rises After Indonesia Raises Export Tax, Biodiesel Use-9.2%
• 2017/07/24Oil gains after Saudi vows to cap crude exports next month+9.4%
• 2025/10/05Oil rises after OPEC+ hikes output less than expected | Reuters-2.7%
• 2021/09/01Oil steadies; OPEC+ sticks to gradual output hikes | Reuters-2.2%

過去の強気な政策イベント90件の後、ULSD / ディーゼル は5営業日で中央値 +1.4% 動き（66% が上昇。中央50%は -1.9% から +4.1%）、20営業日では +0.1% 動きました。

• 2022/08/31Talk of US Export Ban Spooks Diesel Traders-5.8%
• 2026/07/09Russia Diesel Export Ban: Price Impact & Trade Shifts Russia's diesel export ban adds fresh fuel to rising prices | Kpler - Jul 09, 2026+7.7%
• 2026/07/14Global diesel market tightens as Russian export ban, Ukraine strikes bite | S&P Global+7.1%
• 2023/04/02Oil prices surge after surprise move to cut output+2.0%
• 2023/04/03Oil prices notch biggest gain in nearly a year after OPEC's surprise output cut+2.0%