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2024/05/29天候グローバル

‘Weather market’ resumes role as price driver

Wheat prices in Chicago rose 33% over the past two months after hitting a four-year low, as concerns over lower output grew. Frosts and drought in Russia, flooding in parts of Europe, leafhopper damage in Argentina and planting delays in the U.S. have prompted analysts to cut some crop and export forecasts.

重要性

Weather-driven cuts to Russian, EU and Argentine supplies are tightening the outlook after expectations of a glut, which supports wheat and corn prices. Buyers should expect firmer grain costs while weather risks persist.

影響を受ける銘柄小麦(SRW)▲トウモロコシ▲

1 件のソース
producer.comReuters News Service2024/05/29

価格反応と履歴

小麦(SRW)▲強気現時点1d -0.2%5d -5.3%20d -11.3%

過去の強気な天候イベント1,072件の後、小麦(SRW) は5営業日で中央値 +0.2% 動き（55% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +2.3%）、20営業日では +0.3% 動きました。

2017/07/27Crop futures higher Thurs. on dry weather | The Western Producer+6.5%
2021/09/02Exports to drop as crop shrinks | The Western Producer+1.3%
2021/07/23Crop markets wake up to evolving drought disaster | The Western Producer-0.4%
2026/05/05Drought, frost provide lift for U.S. hard red wheat price | The Western Producer+1.8%
2020/04/04Wheat Market Stabilizes, as the Black Sea Weather Remains Dry+2.3%

トウモロコシ▲強気現時点1d -0.9%5d -4.5%20d -5.1%

過去の強気な天候イベント1,465件の後、トウモロコシは5営業日で中央値 +0.2% 動き（54% が上昇。中央50%は -1.4% から +1.9%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

2017/07/27Crop futures higher Thurs. on dry weather | The Western Producer-1.3%
2022/11/03Rising input costs may overwhelm cattle prices | The Western Producer-0.6%
2021/09/02Exports to drop as crop shrinks | The Western Producer-3.0%
2022/10/22Rains threaten South American wheat | The Western Producer-1.1%
2021/04/28Global weather driving price rises in grains and oilseeds: Feed market report | AHDB+4.4%

イベント直前の終値からの各商品ベンチマークの動き。過去の傾向は同種の過去イベントをまとめたものであり、起きたことを示すもので、今後を示すものではありません。投資助言ではありません。

小麦(SRW) WHEAT · GP ▸

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トウモロコシ CORN · GP ▸

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