Stocks rise; yields, dollar lower as Fed signals rate cut

過去の強気なマクロイベント487件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 +1.0% 動き（60% が上昇。中央50%は -2.0% から +4.0%）、20営業日では +1.5% 動きました。

• 2025/07/30Global stock index dips, dollar climbs as Fed's Powell holds off on Sept rate cut verdict-5.8%
• 2019/10/31Rupee rises 9 paise against US dollar after Fed rate cut - The Hindu+2.4%
• 2025/08/22Commodity Prices Surge As Powell Signals September Fed Rate Cut | FXEmpire+1.0%
• 2026/10/01Dollar flat as US-Iran stand-off lifts oil, yields-2.3%
• 2025/10/29Newsquawk US Market Wrap: Dollar and yields rally as Powell pushes back against December rate cut | Newsquawk+0.7%

過去の強気なマクロイベント323件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 +0.7% 動き（58% が上昇。中央50%は -2.9% から +3.7%）、20営業日では +1.3% 動きました。

• 2025/07/30Global stock index dips, dollar climbs as Fed's Powell holds off on Sept rate cut verdict-6.1%
• 2026/07/29Gold trims gain as Fed holds rates, signals hike support-2.3%
• 2026/09/28Rand weakens as oil prices rise and rate-hike fears support dollar+6.5%
• 2019/07/31Stocks sink after Fed dents hopes for multiple interest-rate cuts - Los Angeles Times-7.6%
• 2021/05/26Equities, dollar rise as Fed officials downplay inflation concerns+3.3%

過去の弱気なマクロイベント1,637件の後、米ドル指数(広範) は5営業日で中央値 -0.2% 動き（39% が上昇。中央50%は -0.6% から +0.3%）、20営業日では -0.2% 動きました。

• 2024/08/23Stocks surge while Treasury yields, dollars retreat after Fed signals lower rates | Reuters-0.1%
• 2024/07/31Dollar falls as Fed signals likely September rate cut-0.5%
• 2023/12/13Dollar drops as Fed signals coming rate cuts-1.0%
• 2019/06/20Fed rate-cut sign boosts stocks, dollar drops-1.1%
• 2019/10/30Dollar dips as Fed signals pause in rate-cutting cycle+0.1%

過去の強気なマクロイベント28件の後、大豆油 は5営業日で中央値 -1.2% 動き（32% が上昇。中央50%は -2.1% から +1.8%）、20営業日では -2.3% 動きました。

• 2026/10/29The dollar continues to rise but is at its lowest level in 10 years · SondeAR-0.8%
• 2021/09/22Daily summary: Fed projects interest-rate hike next year | XTB+4.9%
• 2023/03/31Argentina's dollars drain fastest since 2019 as IMF decision looms | Kitco News+2.1%
• 2023/03/22Argentina drought saps dollar reserves, pressuring FX crawling peg-3.2%
• 2026/05/27Tight Stocks, Wide Ranges: 2026 Crop Price Scenarios - American AgCredit+2.2%