Oil settles up 4% on Iran-US tensions, Russia-Ukraine talks end without breakthrough

過去の強気な地政学イベント626件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 +2.1% 動き（62% が上昇。中央50%は -2.3% から +8.5%）、20営業日では +1.6% 動きました。

• 2022/02/22Oil settles near 2014 high on Russia-Ukraine escalation | Reuters+5.3%
• 2024/12/13Oil up 2%, settles at 3-week high as more sanctions loom on Russia, Iran | Reuters-0.2%
• 2025/08/21Oil rises 1% on stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks, strong US demand | Reuters+0.8%
• 2023/12/20Oil settles up on Red Sea tensions; gains capped by US stock builds | Reuters+1.3%
• 2026/05/21US oil prices rise as investors doubt breakthrough in US-Iran peace talks | Reuters-9.1%

過去の強気な地政学イベント656件の後、原油(ブレント) は5営業日で中央値 +1.9% 動き（63% が上昇。中央50%は -2.7% から +6.6%）、20営業日では +0.7% 動きました。

• 2022/02/22Oil settles near 2014 high on Russia-Ukraine escalation | Reuters+6.1%
• 2024/12/13Oil up 2%, settles at 3-week high as more sanctions loom on Russia, Iran | Reuters-0.2%
• 2025/08/21Oil rises 1% on stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks, strong US demand | Reuters+1.0%
• 2023/12/20Oil settles up on Red Sea tensions; gains capped by US stock builds | Reuters+1.0%
• 2026/05/21US oil prices rise as investors doubt breakthrough in US-Iran peace talks | Reuters-11.6%

過去の強気な地政学イベント250件の後、ULSD / ディーゼル は5営業日で中央値 +1.7% 動き（58% が上昇。中央50%は -3.6% から +8.7%）、20営業日では +0.9% 動きました。

• 2025/01/13China, India seek new supplies as US sanctions tighten grip on Russian oil | Reuters+4.9%
• 2026/03/12Oil settles up 9% as Iran vows to keep Strait of Hormuz closed | Reuters+15.3%
• 2026/03/08Oil jumps to 2022 high on Iran war, falls after close as Russia sanctions in doubt | Reuters+10.4%
• 2025/01/15Oil rallies, settles at multi-month high on US crude draw, Russia sanctions-1.6%
• 2025/01/10Oil prices rally 3% as US hits Russian oil with tougher sanctions+10.5%