Euro-Dollar Driven by War, Not Rates: UniCredit

過去の中立なマクロイベント129件の後、ユーロ(1 EURあたりUSD) は5営業日で中央値 -0.1% 動き（45% が上昇。中央50%は -0.5% から +0.5%）、20営業日では +0.1% 動きました。

• 2022/08/29Dollar eases off of 20-year high as euro boosted by rates view | Reuters+0.3%
• 2020/04/30Pound-Dollar Protected By Dovish FED, Focus For Sterling-Euro Rate Outlook On ECB And UK Lockdown | Exchange Rates UK-0.4%
• 2026/02/04ECB keeps rates unchanged, signal comfort with dollar weakness | Reuters+0.7%
• 2021/04/22Euro and U.S. dollar waffle as markets weigh ECB policy talk+0.5%
• 2026/02/05ECB holds rates but it's not a 'non-event,' economists say. Here's why+0.7%

過去の強気なマクロイベント487件の後、原油(WTI) は5営業日で中央値 +1.0% 動き（60% が上昇。中央50%は -2.0% から +4.0%）、20営業日では +1.5% 動きました。

• 2021/02/01U.S. dollar reaches six-week high on weaker euro, Swiss franc and yen+8.9%
• 2017/05/22Commodities Relief Rally As U.S. Dollar Breaks Down - InvestingHaven-1.3%
• 2024/01/29Canadian Dollar hesitates with Canada GDP, US Fed rate call in the pipe-7.3%
• 2018/07/01Rupee-dollar exchange rate at 69 now: 10 things you should know-0.3%
• 2018/01/13Colombia peso boosted by weak dollar and rising oil prices - Colombia News-1.0%