
China's Nitrogen Fertilizer Association set a urea export quota of 2 million tonnes, well below the 4 million tonnes initially reported, with application windows from May to September. Export certificates are valid one month and ex-factory prices are capped at May 6 levels, while DAP and MAP prices are climbing on reduced Chinese export quotas of 2 million and 1 million tonnes.
Constrained Chinese urea and phosphate exports keep global fertilizer supply tight, supporting input costs for feed producers and farmers' crop margins.
Setelah 129 peristiwa kebijakan bullish sebelumnya, Urea bergerak median -0,1% selama 5 sesi (47% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +2,3%), dan +1,4% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 151 peristiwa kebijakan bullish sebelumnya, DAP bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (50% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,9%), dan +1,9% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Reduced Chinese DAP/MAP export quotas (2 Mt and 1 Mt) constrain supply and push DAP prices higher, matching the timing of the move.
China's reduced DAP and MAP export quotas of 2 and 1 million tonnes tighten global phosphate supply and push DAP prices higher, though the news came a few days before the move.
China's 2 Mt urea export quota with ex-factory prices capped signals a resumption of Chinese supply, which weighs on global prices from tight-supply highs.
Reduced Chinese DAP/MAP export quotas of 2 Mt and 1 Mt are pushing DAP prices higher via constrained supply.