◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

12 Mar 2026GEOPOLITIKTimur Tengah

Brent Oil Tops $100 as Persian Gulf Disruption Hits Global Supply

Brent crude settled up sharply, rising about 9.7% to $95.73 and trading above $100 as multiple vessel attacks across the Arabian Gulf widened Iran's maritime disruption beyond the Strait of Hormuz. The move marked the highest level in almost a long stretch.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

Disruption to Gulf tanker traffic tightens crude supply and lifts energy costs, which raises biofuel feedstock values and pushes up freight and fuel expenses for feed producers. Higher energy prices also tend to support soybean oil and vegetable oil prices.

BERDAMPAK PADAMinyak Mentah (Brent)▲Minyak Mentah (WTI)▲ULSD / Solar▲Minyak Kedelai▲Minyak Sawit▲

1 SUMBER
bloomberg.comMia Gindis, Charles Gorrivan12 Mar 2026

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Minyak Mentah (Brent)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +10,9%5d +23,1%20d +16,8%

Setelah 656 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median +1,9% selama 5 sesi (63% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,7% sampai +6,6%), dan +0,7% selama 20 sesi.

2 Mar 2026Oil Prices Surge as Hormuz Disruptions Threaten Global Supply, Analysts Warn - Bloomberg+31,0%
1 Apr 2026How the Iran War Is Disrupting Global Oil and Gas Supply-12,2%
1 Feb 2020Oil Pares Gains as Plentiful Supply Tempers Libya Disruption-6,0%
2 Apr 2020Oil Leaps on Potential Global Output Cuts, Though Doubts Persist - Bloomberg+49,5%
20 Mar 2022Oil Surges On Growing Supply Fears as EU Considers Russian Ban - Bloomberg+9,5%

Minyak Mentah (WTI)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +10,0%5d +10,6%20d +13,9%

Setelah 626 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median +2,1% selama 5 sesi (62% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -2,3% sampai +8,5%), dan +1,6% selama 20 sesi.

2 Mar 2026Oil Prices Surge as Hormuz Disruptions Threaten Global Supply, Analysts Warn - Bloomberg+35,6%
27 Mar 2023Oil Holds Surge as Supply Disruption Adds to Market Optimism - Bloomberg+9,3%
1 Apr 2026How the Iran War Is Disrupting Global Oil and Gas Supply-6,6%
1 Feb 2020Oil Pares Gains as Plentiful Supply Tempers Libya Disruption-2,4%
2 Apr 2020Oil Leaps on Potential Global Output Cuts, Though Doubts Persist - Bloomberg+23,3%

ULSD / Solar▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +5,7%5d +15,3%20d +5,9%

Setelah 250 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, ULSD / Solar bergerak median +1,7% selama 5 sesi (58% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -3,6% sampai +8,7%), dan +0,9% selama 20 sesi.

2 Mar 2026Oil Prices Surge as Hormuz Disruptions Threaten Global Supply, Analysts Warn - Bloomberg+36,4%
29 Sep 2018Brent hits 4-year high as U.S. sanctions on Iran tighten supply+1,6%
15 Sep 2026US diesel prices hit new all-time high amid global supply disruptions, strong demand | S&P Global-1,7%
2 Okt 2026Oil Rises as Mideast Tensions Sustain Supply-Disruption Fears+8,4%
1 Mar 2022WTI Tops $103 as Supply Fears Persist - TT+33,1%

Minyak Kedelai▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +0,2%5d -5,5%20d -1,7%

Setelah 110 peristiwa geopolitik bullish sebelumnya, Minyak Kedelai bergerak median +1,8% selama 5 sesi (65% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,7% sampai +3,6%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.

2 Mar 2026Oil Prices Surge as Hormuz Disruptions Threaten Global Supply, Analysts Warn - Bloomberg+4,6%
8 Jul 2026Soybean Oil Hits Three-Week High as US-Iran Ceasefire Dissolves - Bloomberg+7,3%
3 Mar 2026Global oil and gas prices soar as Iran crisis disrupts shipping, production | Reuters+1,0%
5 Mar 2026Asia refining margins rocket to highest in nearly 4 years on Hormuz supply disruption | Reuters+1,2%
23 Mar 2022Russian Invasion Deals Another Blow to Oilseed Supply | CZ app-1,5%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Pergerakan harga terkait

Minyak Mentah (Brent)+12,5%1 periode sampai 12 Mar 20264,0σ
Same-day Brent surge of about 9.7% to $95.73 as vessel attacks widened the Gulf maritime disruption beyond Hormuz, directly explaining the move.
Minyak Mentah (Brent)+29,8%5 periode sampai 18 Mar 20264,8σ
Brent rose ~9.7% to $95.73 and traded above $100 on March 12 as vessel attacks widened the Gulf disruption, directly adding to the 5-day gain.
ULSD / Solar+18,8%5 periode sampai 17 Mar 20263,2σ
Brent topped $100 on Mar 12 as vessel attacks widened the maritime disruption beyond Hormuz, raising crude and diesel costs in the window.
ULSD / Solar+17,6%5 periode sampai 15 Mar 20263,2σ
Brent rose about 9.7% and topped $100 on March 12 as vessel attacks widened the Gulf disruption, a direct crude input to ULSD.

Minyak Mentah (Brent) BRENT · GP ▸

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Minyak Mentah (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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