Brent crude fell as much as 15% within minutes after Trump's Truth Social post signaled constructive talks with Tehran and delayed threatened strikes on power plants. Reports say traders had bet about $500 million on lower oil just before the post.
Natural gas also sold off.
The sell-off reflects markets pricing in a possible reopening of Gulf energy flows, which lowers input costs for energy and biofuel markets that affect feed grains and oilseeds.
Setelah 250 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median -3,1% selama 5 sesi (36% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,9% sampai +1,6%), dan -5,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 15 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Gas Alam bergerak median -1,1% selama 5 sesi (40% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -9,2% sampai +2,4%), dan +4,7% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Describes Brent falling as much as 15% within minutes of Trump's post on delaying attacks, and the large pre-post bets on lower oil, confirming the trigger and sharpness of the drop.