Dolar melemah saat pemilu AS menekan harga minyak dan imbal hasil Treasury; poundsterling menguat

Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.

Setelah 565 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median -1,4% selama 5 sesi (41% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -5,9% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.

• 6 Des 2022Ringgit ends lower against US dollar as oil prices decline | Malay Mail-5,0%
• 18 Okt 2018Ringgit snaps 2-day gaining streak to end lower vs US dollar | FMT-4,3%
• 3 Feb 2020Canadian dollar slides to two-month low as China virus hits oil demand - The Globe and Mail-2,4%
• 31 Agu 2017Dollar Maintaining Data Inspired Gains, Yen Broadly Lower as Risk Aversion Eased - ActionForex+6,8%
• 21 Jun 2017Colombia's peso slides against US dollar as global oil prices tumble | The City Paper Bogotá+2,2%

Setelah 312 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median -1,7% selama 5 sesi (38% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -5,4% sampai +2,3%), dan -1,7% selama 20 sesi.

• 6 Des 2022Ringgit ends lower against US dollar as oil prices decline | Malay Mail-6,1%
• 18 Sep 2026Ringgit opens higher against US dollar as oil prices ease | The Star-0,3%
• 26 Jul 2021Ringgit ends lower against US dollar | Malay Mail+3,4%
• 19 Mar 2021RM opens 120 bps lower amid falling oil prices, US yields spike-1,8%
• 29 Nov 2022Ringgit retreats to open lower against US dollar | Malay Mail-0,4%

Setelah 1.637 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,6% sampai +0,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.

• 26 Nov 2020U.S. Dollar On Glide Path Lower as Fed Seen Eyeing Long-term Bond Yields-1,2%
• 6 Nov 2017U.S. Dollar Slides Against Emerging Markets on Low Yields - WSJ-0,1%
• 30 Jul 2026US Dollar: Real yields drive correction risk – ING — Octa-1,2%
• 11 Jan 2024Sterling gains vs dollar ahead of US inflation data+0,9%
• 11 Okt 2018Dollar slips on stock losses, lower bond yields-0,4%