
ECB President Lagarde said higher energy prices, a mismatch between recovering demand and supply, and base effects from the end of a German sales tax cut were temporarily lifting euro zone inflation. Her comments pushed back against market bets on rate hikes.
A less hawkish ECB weakens the euro against the dollar, which tends to lift dollar-denominated grain and meal prices in euro terms.
Setelah 533 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Euro (USD per EUR) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (33% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +0,2%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Lagarde's pushback on rate-hike bets and framing of inflation as temporary reduced ECB tightening expectations, weighing on the euro heading into the 29 Oct drop.