
Oil prices fell below $100 a barrel after President Trump announced a two-week ceasefire with Iran. The deal followed weeks of conflict that had largely disrupted flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
A ceasefire that may restore Gulf crude flows removes part of the war risk premium, which lowers crude costs and eases pressure on energy-linked feed inputs.
Setelah 250 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (Brent) bergerak median -3,1% selama 5 sesi (36% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,9% sampai +1,6%), dan -5,5% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 255 peristiwa geopolitik bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median -2,4% selama 5 sesi (31% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -7,0% sampai +1,7%), dan -5,0% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Oil fell below $100 as the ceasefire was announced, reflecting expectations of restored Hormuz flows (supply-side relief).
Oil fell below $100 after Trump announced the ceasefire, which started the sell-off (supply-risk relief).