◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

17 Nov 2017CUACAAS

Multi-year La Niña presents opportunity to predict drought impacts out to 2 years

NOAA-funded studies from the University of Texas at Austin predict that the current La Niña will likely last into a second year. The research finds La Niña's effect on southern US drought strengthens in the second year of a two-year event.

The work is aimed at forecasting drought impacts years ahead.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

Better drought forecasts help markets judge the risk to US southern crops and winter grazing over the coming years. The study itself is a research finding and does not change current supply.

BERDAMPAK PADAJagung Kedelai Gandum (SRW)Minyak Sawit

1 SUMBER
cpo.noaa.govKristina Kiest17 Nov 2017

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Jagungtidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d +1,2%5d +0,8%20d +6,3%

Setelah 2.467 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +1,7%), dan +0,6% selama 20 sesi.

10 Sep 2021La Niña Redux and the Present Drought+1,1%
23 Apr 2021Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time | US CLIVAR+10,5%
1 Feb 2018More U.S. drought in a second-year La Niña? | NOAA Climate.gov+0,6%
9 Jun 2022La Niña Is Forecast to Impact Global Agriculture for a Third Year in a Row-1,6%
15 Sep 2025La Niña looms over Brazil, raising fears of drought in the South+5,1%

Kedelaitidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d +1,9%5d +2,2%20d -0,5%

Setelah 1.964 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,7% sampai +1,8%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.

10 Sep 2021La Niña Redux and the Present Drought+3,0%
23 Apr 2021Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time | US CLIVAR+0,6%
9 Jun 2022La Niña Is Forecast to Impact Global Agriculture for a Third Year in a Row-2,7%
15 Sep 2025La Niña looms over Brazil, raising fears of drought in the South-0,0%
30 Agu 2022WMO predicts first “triple-dip” La Niña of the century-2,9%

Gandum (SRW)tidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d +0,2%5d -2,9%20d -2,6%

Setelah 1.773 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (52% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +2,1%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.

10 Sep 2021La Niña Redux and the Present Drought+3,6%
23 Apr 2021Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time | US CLIVAR+3,2%
9 Jun 2022La Niña Is Forecast to Impact Global Agriculture for a Third Year in a Row+1,2%
30 Agu 2022WMO predicts first “triple-dip” La Niña of the century-2,3%
5 Jun 2019Droughts and flooding rains impact market | The Land | NSW+3,5%

Minyak Sawittidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d -0,3%5d -1,2%20d -6,5%

Setelah 361 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Minyak Sawit bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +1,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.

10 Sep 2021La Niña Redux and the Present Drought-0,0%
23 Apr 2021Predicting the duration of El Niño and La Niña events with multiyear lead time | US CLIVAR-0,2%
22 Okt 2026Palm oil prices to stay high next year on Southeast Asia drought-0,4%
12 Sep 2018Future impacts of El Niño, La Niña likely to intensify | EurekAlert!-1,8%
24 Apr 2024Anticipating the La Niña Phenomenon: The Importance of Understanding and Mitigating Its Impacts-0,5%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Jagung CORN · GP ▸

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Kedelai SOY · GP ▸

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