◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

12 Sep 2018CUACAGlobal

Future impacts of El Niño, La Niña likely to intensify

A new study funded by the NSF and US Department of Energy, published in Geophysical Research Letters, finds that future El Niño and La Niña events are likely to produce more intense impacts on temperature, precipitation and wildfire risk over many land regions. The researchers highlight greater wildfire danger in the US Southwest during La Niña and wetter, cooler conditions with higher flood risk during El Niño.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

The findings are long-term climate projections rather than near-term supply shocks, so they carry little immediate price signal. They do underline that ENSO-driven weather swings affecting grain and oilseed regions may become more severe over time.

BERDAMPAK PADAJagung Kedelai Gandum (SRW)Minyak Sawit

1 SUMBER
eurekalert.org12 Sep 2018

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Jagungtidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d -2,4%5d -2,5%20d -0,1%

Setelah 2.467 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Jagung bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +1,7%), dan +0,6% selama 20 sesi.

6 Jun 2025Texas Agriculture • June 6, 2025 • El Niño nor La Niña likely to impact Lone Star State this summer-2,1%
28 Mar 2024El Niño to La Niña-2,0%
25 Mar 2026Return of El Niño expected, but impacts not likely until fall | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.-1,0%
18 Agu 2021La Niña’s Likely Return Could Impact Brazil, US Corn-1,4%
16 Jan 2024Potential impacts of El Niño on crop production | AGDAILY-0,4%

Kedelaitidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d +1,1%5d -0,8%20d +5,2%

Setelah 1.964 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Kedelai bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,7% sampai +1,8%), dan +0,3% selama 20 sesi.

28 Mar 2024El Niño to La Niña-1,0%
25 Mar 2026Return of El Niño expected, but impacts not likely until fall | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+1,4%
16 Jan 2024Potential impacts of El Niño on crop production | AGDAILY+1,5%
14 Jan 2022La Niña Conditions Likely to Continue into Spring - AgWeb+3,6%
27 Sep 2022La Niña to Impact Global Agriculture for 3rd Straight Winter | Feed & Grain-2,6%

Gandum (SRW)tidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d -0,4%5d -6,9%20d -6,6%

Setelah 1.773 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Gandum (SRW) bergerak median +0,1% selama 5 sesi (52% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +2,1%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.

1 Jul 2024El Niño and La Niña: Impact on Global Agriculture and What to Expect Next+6,6%
3 Mar 2021La Niña weakens, but influence likely to continue into autumn-2,4%
16 Jan 2024Potential impacts of El Niño on crop production | AGDAILY-0,8%
27 Sep 2022La Niña to Impact Global Agriculture for 3rd Straight Winter | Feed & Grain+1,8%
4 Mar 2024El Niño weakens but impacts continue+7,2%

Minyak Sawittidak ada pembacaan arahSEJAUH INI1d -1,0%5d -1,8%20d -3,2%

Setelah 361 peristiwa cuaca sebelumnya, Minyak Sawit bergerak median +0,0% selama 5 sesi (51% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,3% sampai +1,3%), dan -0,2% selama 20 sesi.

16 Jan 2024Potential impacts of El Niño on crop production | AGDAILY-0,2%
2 Mei 2023Anticipating The Impact of El Niño on Food Security+11,1%
5 Sep 2026AgroENSO Maps El Niño Impacts on Argentina Crops-1,6%
10 Sep 2018New El Niño weather event likely this winter says WMO-1,2%
7 Jul 2023Malaysia forecasts peak of El Niño to hit in early 2024-0,1%

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Jagung CORN · GP ▸

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Kedelai SOY · GP ▸

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