Brazil's central bank said it would keep intervening in the foreign exchange market in whatever size is needed to keep trading orderly. Its $3 billion spot auction on Monday tripled the size announced the previous Friday and followed nearly $10 billion in dollar swap auctions in recent weeks.
The move followed a collapse in oil prices that drove sharp volatility across world markets.
A central bank commitment to unlimited intervention caps further real weakness, which lowers the dollar-denominated cost of Brazilian export commodities. The oil price shock is also a global demand and risk-sentiment factor for commodity prices.
Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 565 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median -1,4% selama 5 sesi (41% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -5,9% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
The central bank's pledge to keep intervening, after the oil price collapse and nearly $10 billion in swap auctions in recent weeks, reflects the FX stress and sentiment driving the 5-day real depreciation.