◂ Linimasa Peristiwa

29 Okt 2020MAKROLatin America

Latam FX fails to shake off virus, election worries

Most major Latin American currencies fell as COVID-19 cases surged in Europe and traders priced in a possible Biden win in the U.S. election on November 3. A 6% drop in oil prices hurt crude-exporting currencies, with the Brazilian real down 0.4% and the Mexican peso down 0.6%.

MENGAPA INI PENTING

A stronger dollar and weaker crude weigh on Latin currencies, which can make Brazilian and Argentine oilseed and grain exports cheaper and more competitive. Crude weakness also eases diesel and biofuel cost support for vegetable oils.

BERDAMPAK PADAMinyak Mentah (WTI)▼Dolar AS (Luas)▲Real Brasil (BRL per USD)▲Peso Meksiko (MXN per USD)▲

1 SUMBER
financialpost.comReuters29 Okt 2020

Reaksi harga & riwayat

Minyak Mentah (WTI)▼bearishSEJAUH INI1d -3,5%5d +4,6%20d +22,3%

Setelah 565 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Minyak Mentah (WTI) bergerak median -1,4% selama 5 sesi (41% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -5,9% sampai +3,0%), dan -0,5% selama 20 sesi.

23 Jul 2020Latam FX weakens, Brazil's real comes off one-month high | Financial Post-1,7%
29 Okt 2020Latam FX steadies after selloff; Oil-linked currencies slide | Financial Post+4,6%
30 Okt 2020Commodity currencies slide on oil, dollar braces for election | Financial Post+7,3%
25 Mar 2022Thai baht, Asian FX gain as oil prices come off the boil | Financial Post-11,6%
24 Jun 2020C$ dips as pickup in coronavirus cases weighs on sentiment | Financial Post-2,8%

Dolar AS (Luas)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +0,4%5d -0,5%20d -2,2%

Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.

30 Sep 2019Latam markets subdued as trade woes persist | Financial Post-0,2%
13 Sep 2022Latam FX slump as hot U.S. inflation sends dollar soaring | Financial Post+1,4%
27 Jan 2022Strong dollar hits Latam FX, Russian assets rise | Financial Post+0,1%
16 Feb 2023Stocks fall on strong U.S. inflation data, Colombian peso leads FX losses | Financial Post+0,5%
9 Des 2021Strong dollar weighs on Latin American currencies | Financial Post+0,8%

Real Brasil (BRL per USD)▲bullishSEJAUH INI1d +0,7%5d -1,5%20d -6,3%

Setelah 301 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median +0,4% selama 5 sesi (57% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,2% sampai +1,7%), dan +1,0% selama 20 sesi.

14 Sep 2021Latam FX falls as U.S. inflation optimism fizzles out | Financial Post+2,3%
23 Jul 2020Latam FX weakens, Brazil's real comes off one-month high | Financial Post+1,0%
29 Jan 2021Brazil's real lags Latam FX on a barrage of weak data | Financial Post+0,5%
14 Des 2022Latam FX slides ahead of U.S. Fed decision, unrest in Peru weighs | Financial Post-1,3%
30 Sep 2019Latam markets subdued as trade woes persist | Financial Post-2,3%

Peso Meksiko (MXN per USD)▲bullish

Belum cukup peristiwa historis yang sebanding untuk analisis historis.

Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.

Minyak Mentah (WTI) WTI · GP ▸

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Dolar AS (Luas) DXY · GP ▸

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