
The Brazilian real closed at 3.99 per US dollar, its first close below 4 in five weeks and a rebound from a record low of nearly 4.2 two weeks earlier. The currency has still lost about 17% since the start of the year.
The move followed signs of two clear presidential election frontrunners, while the Argentine peso fell after the IMF agreed a revised $57.1 billion program.
A stronger real lowers the local cost of dollar-priced imports such as feed ingredients and fertilizer, and it can reduce Brazilian farmer export margins on soybeans, corn and meal. The effect on world feed prices is modest unless the currency keeps recovering.
Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.