
The Brazilian real strengthened slightly to 5.12 per US dollar in September after mid-month inflation came in above consensus at 4.47% year over year. The central bank had cut the Selic by 25 bps to 13.75%, and its minutes were more hawkish than expected.
Persistent inflation could slow the Selic easing cycle and support the real, which makes Brazilian exports dearer in dollar terms and can marginally firm Brazilian commodity offers.
Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.