
U.S. dairy prices have fallen since retaliatory tariffs were announced by Mexico in May and China in June. The author argues that softening global demand, after unusually strong import growth earlier in the year, has played a larger role in the price weakness than the tariffs.
The analysis estimates the tariff impact on milk prices at about 17 to 71 cents per cwt.
Tariffs are bearish for U.S. milk prices but a smaller factor than slowing global demand, so buyers should watch import demand for dairy more than trade headlines.
Setelah 49 peristiwa perdagangan bearish sebelumnya, Susu (Class III) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -4,7% sampai +1,5%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.