Rabobank forecasts dairy prices to keep trending downward in Q1 2023 as Chinese import demand is absent amid expected domestic destocking. Renewed Chinese buying is expected from Q2 2023, and the January WASDE cut 2023 US dairy price projections across milk classes.
Weak Chinese import demand and lower USDA price projections reduce dairy prices and farm margins, which may limit US dairy expansion. A recovery in Chinese buying from Q2 would provide later support for global dairy markets.
Setelah 49 peristiwa perdagangan bearish sebelumnya, Susu (Class III) bergerak median -0,3% selama 5 sesi (39% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -4,7% sampai +1,5%), dan -0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
Rabobank's call for weak Chinese import demand in Q1 and WASDE cuts to 2023 US dairy price forecasts weighed on demand expectations and sentiment, pressuring Class III futures.