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Jair Bolsonaro was elected Brazil's president, and the real has rallied nearly 14% from its mid-September low to new highs. ING's Brazil economist expects the currency to stay supported for a few months, with USD/BRL possibly reaching 3.50, while noting reforms face a difficult passage through Congress.
The bank also highlights the dollar's continued strength on short-term investor positioning.
Currency moves in Brazil affect the competitiveness of Brazilian soy, corn and meal exports, and a firmer real can marginally lift dollar-denominated export prices for those products.
think.ing.comChris Turner29 Okt 2018Setelah 213 peristiwa makro bearish sebelumnya, Real Brasil (BRL per USD) bergerak median -0,2% selama 5 sesi (46% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -1,5% sampai +0,9%), dan +0,2% selama 20 sesi.
Setelah 2.356 peristiwa makro bullish sebelumnya, Dolar AS (Luas) bergerak median +0,2% selama 5 sesi (60% lebih tinggi; separuh tengah -0,3% sampai +0,7%), dan +0,4% selama 20 sesi.
Pergerakan benchmark setiap komoditas dari penutupan terakhir sebelum peristiwa. Pembacaan historis menggabungkan peristiwa serupa di masa lalu; itu menggambarkan apa yang terjadi, bukan apa yang akan terjadi. Bukan nasihat investasi.
